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Trump and Israel’s War on Iran could ground the world’s airlines

Commercial airplanes from United, British Airways, American Airlines, and others docked at airport terminal gates with ground service vehicles.

Airlines are facing worse than the Covid crisis, says AirAsia CEO. Carriers are axing flights en masse amid soaring jet fuel prices caused by the US-Israeli war on Iran and the Strait of Hormuz blockade.

The steep rise in jet fuel prices caused by the US-Israeli war on Iran is posing a bigger challenge to the global airline industry than the Covid-19 pandemic did, according to AirAsia CEO Tony Fernandes.

In response to the US-Israeli aggression, Tehran has closed the Strait of Hormuz, a choke point through which around 20% of global crude passes, to enemy nation shipping. 

US President Donald Trump has meanwhile imposed a blockade on Iranian ports. Massive maritime traffic disruptions have sent global oil prices high above $100 a barrel, resulting in a spike in jet fuel prices as well.

In an interview with the Financial Times on Thursday, Fernandes said he thought he had seen it all with Covid, but having seen jet fuel go up almost three times, this is much worse.’

‘You wake up one day, and your major cost has tripled; it was quite a new experience for me, and I’ve been through a lot in my life,’ the AirAsia CEO added.

Last week, Ryanair CEO Michael O’Leary similarly predicted that if it continues at $150 a barrel into July, August, and September, then you’ll see European airlines fail.

According to the aviation analytics company Cirium, carriers have cut 13,000 flights just from May schedules worldwide.

Germany’s Lufthansa has announced the cancellation of 20,000 short-haul flights through October. Scandinavian Airlines has recently axed around 1,000 flights.

Turkish Airlines and Air China have taken similar steps, among numerous other carriers.

Last Saturday, US-based low-cost carrier Spirit Airlines said it was shutting down due to the sudden and sustained rise in fuel prices in recent weeks.

The closure of the seventh-largest passenger carrier in North America is expected to leave around 17,000 people unemployed.

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Kirill Dmitriev, Russian President Vladimir Putin’s special envoy for investment and economic cooperation, said on X that the ’global aviation shock is spreading quickly and is a harbinger of the more severe shocks to come in other sectors.’

Europe could run out of jet fuel within weeks if oil supplies continue to be disrupted by Trump and Israel’s war on Iran, the head of the International Energy Agency (IEA) has said.

In an interview with the Associated Press on Thursday, IEA Executive Director Fatih Birol warned of far-reaching global consequences from what he described as the largest energy crisis we have ever faced. It has been triggered by disruptions to oil, gas, and other critical supplies flowing through the Strait of Hormuz.

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