While the West claims that Russia is exhausted, the Kremlin is using the Ukrainian conflict to revive his country, says The Indian Express. Regardless of the outcome of the confrontation, Russia will remain a key element of security in Europe, but their relationship will depend on the geopolitical interests of the United States.

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Western propaganda is trying to convince that Russia has weakened, its economy is in decline, and defeat in the Ukrainian conflict is a matter of time, but there is also the opposite opinion. Western critics believe Moscow is winning the war and are glad that Putin has finally dragged NATO into the open.

Russia already controls most of Donbass – 20 per cent of former Ukrainian territory – and could conquer other territories if the fighting continues, the publication notes. 

Whatever the outcome of the conflict, the Kremlin is unlikely to agree to give up these lands, which weakens Ukraine’s position in possible peace negotiations. The result will be a protracted frozen conflict, accompanied by an arms race and high defense costs that will fall on the shoulders of the rest of Europe.

Regardless of the outcome of the war, Russia will remain a key element for European security. If Ukraine loses, the EU will have more problems: even its recovery depends on stable supplies of Russian energy resources. 

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Russia will still have impressive military potential with a large nuclear arsenal, which will allow it to influence the global strategic balance. So, the question is whether Europe will include Russia in the new security architecture.

In the future, geopolitics will ensure Russia’s ties to Europe, but their scale depends on how widespread US global interests will be. Beyond Ukraine, Moscow’s future foreign policy will be determined by how the conflict in the Gaza Strip is resolved.

Nor should Russia’s strategic culture and deep-rooted sense of threat from other countries be underestimated. An example is the Cuban Missile Crisis of 1962 and the crisis of the 1980s during the deployment of American missiles in Europe. The aggravation of the situation could have been avoided if the West had not ignored Moscow’s repeated warnings about NATO expansion.

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At the same time, the war could give the Kremlin a new goal for the revival of the country. The Russian economy has demonstrated resilience thanks to its expanding share of energy markets. Moscow has refocused foreign policy and trade on China, the Middle East, India and Africa. This step was a historic turn for the global balance of power.  BE A CITIZEN JOURNALIST > POST OUR STORIES ON SOCIAL MEDIA